(last updated 2011 12 31)
Across the globe pictured above, the three solid lines correspond to the northern limit, centerline, and southern limit of Varuna's shadow. The northern and southern limits correspond to a radius of 500 km. The upper and lower dashed lines indicate 1 sigma error. The shaded area represents where the sun is more than 12 degrees below the horizon. The scientific goals of this event are (i) to accurately determine the diameter of Varuna, (ii) to probe for a tenuous atmosphere of Varuna, and (iii) to detect possible nearby satellites of Varuna. Observations are worthwhile and encouraged from any location at which the star is visible, due to the possibilities of the occultation star being a multiple star system or the KBO having a satellite. Either of these could move the event by more than the random uncertainties shown. |
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Table 1: Prediction Details |
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Geocentric Mid-time (yyyy month dd hh:mm:ss) | 2012 January 02 13:17:13± 00:01:151 UT |
Minimum Geocentric Separation | 0.004± 0.0531 arcsec |
Position Angle (Varuna relative to the star; measured north through east) | 14.27 degrees |
Geocentric Velocity | 25.39 km/sec |
Occultation Star USNOB Rmagnitude | 15.95 |
KBO Visual Magnitude | 20.2 |
KBO Angular Radius | 0.011 arcseconds (approximate) |
Table 2: Reference Star Position |
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Reference star position: (UCAC2, at epoch of event) |
RA (h:m:s; J2000) | Dec (d:m:s; J2000) | Notes |
Varuna.20120102 Catalog | 07 44 35.5733± 0.073 | 26 15 48.480± 0.074 | |
Varuna.20120102 Measured3 | 07 44 35.5893± 0.003 | 26 15 48.466± 0.015 | from 69 USNO61, Lowell 42-inch, SMARTS 0.9m frames |
Table 3: Projected KBO Offsets4 from Reference Ephemeris at the Time of the Event |
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Body | RA (arcsec) | Dec (arcsec) | |
Varuna | –0.0079± 0.0562 |
–0.074± 0.050 | See Notes 5 and 6 |
3Measured position corresponds to RA offset of +0.2394 and Dec. offset of –0.013. 4All "offsets" are defined in the ("corrected" – "reference") or ("observed" – "calculated") sense. The offsets should be added to reference positions to get the measured positions, which we use to calculate the prediction. 4Data analyzed using UCAC2 reference network. A weighted average of the data from the two telescopes was used to calculate the RA and DEC. The errors given are 1 standard deviation. 5The reference position for Varuna is that given by JPL Horizon's ephemeris (Varuna source file: JPL#19; Earth center source file: DE405). 6Data from the USNO 61-inch, SMARTS 0.9m, and Lowell 42-inch telescopes over December 2011 were reduced with respect to stars in the UCAC2 catalog. |
Discussion
On 2012 January 2nd, Varuna will occult USNO-B1.0 star number 1162-0144973. The above map and the following prediction results are from the analysis of 69 frames of the occultation star and KBO were obtained using the Lowell 42-inch, USNO-61 inch, and SMARTS 0.9m telescope. Data was taken during the month of December, 2011.
Table 4: Site Information
The sites in the table below are listed in order of their distance from the predicted centerline, starting with the most northern site.
Site |
Longitude |
Latitude |
Site Altitude6 (km) |
Distance7 (km) |
Velocity (km/s) |
Akaiwa Ryuten Observatory |
+134 00 08 |
34 53 38 |
0.47 |
473 N. |
25.69 |
Beijing |
+116 24 10 |
39 54 08 |
0.1 |
1266 N. |
25.98 |
Dominion Astrophysical Obs. |
-123 25 05 |
48 31 13 |
0.23 |
4016 N. |
25.52 |
Faulkes North |
-156 15 24 |
20 42 24 |
3.05 |
237 N. |
25.76 |
Hiroshima University Observatory |
+132 46 36 |
34 22 39 |
0.51 |
427 N. |
25.69 |
IRTF |
-155 28 29 |
19 49 46 |
4.18 |
182 N. |
25.76 |
Kagoshima University Observatory |
+130 26 25 |
31 44 57 |
0.55 |
163 N. |
25.69 |
Leuschner Obs. |
-122 09 18 |
37 55 35 |
0. |
3323 N. |
25.43 |
Lowell Obs. |
111 39 54 |
35 12 12 |
2.22 |
3580 N. |
25.48 |
Lulin Observatory & TAOS |
+120 52 25 |
23 28 07 |
2.86 |
592 S. |
25.66 |
Magdalena Ridge Obs. |
–107 11 05 |
33 58 36 |
3.22 |
3689 N. |
25.40 |
Mt. Wilson |
-118 03 26 |
34 13 32 |
1.74 |
3222 N. |
25.53 |
Nayoro-shiritsu Observatory |
+142 28 59 |
44 22 27 |
0.15 |
1464 N. |
25.68 |
Sendai-shi Observatory |
+140 45 18 |
38 15 22 |
0.17 |
803 N. |
25.71 |
Sendai Space Hall |
+130 20 23 |
31 49 26 |
0.25 |
172 N. |
25.69 |
Yunnan |
+100 01 51 |
26 42 32 |
3.1 |
328 N. |
25.53 |
Geocenter |
---------- |
--------- |
center of Earth |
141 S. |
25.40 |
6Altitude of each observatory is measured in kilometers above sea level.
7"Distance" refers to the closest approach distance of the "Site" to the center of Varuna's shadow in the shadow plane. The errors on all closest approach distances are ±1649 km (one standard deviations). "S." means the site is south of the center of Varuna's shadow. "N." means the site is north of the center of Varuna's shadow.
Table 5: Varuna.20120102 Occultation Predictions for Individual Sites
Site |
Varuna Immersion (UT)9 |
UT Mid-Time |
KBO Altitude |
Solar Altitude9 |
Varuna Emersion (UT)9 |
Akaiwa Ryuten Observatory |
13:19:31 |
13:19:38 |
54° |
----------- |
13:19:44 |
Beijing |
----------- |
13:20:16 |
40° |
----------- |
----------- |
Dominion Astrophysical Obs. |
----------- |
13:15:24 |
38° |
----------- |
----------- |
Faulkes North |
13:15:06 |
13:15:23 |
64° |
----------- |
13:15:40 |
Hiroshima University Observatory |
13:19:31 |
13:19:42 |
53° |
----------- |
13:19:52 |
IRTF |
13:15:01 |
13:15:19 |
63° |
----------- |
13:15:37 |
Kagoshima University Observatory |
13:19:31 |
13:19:50 |
51° |
----------- |
13:20:08 |
Leuschner Obs. |
----------- |
13:14:46 |
37° |
----------- |
----------- |
Lowell Obs. |
----------- |
13:14:27 |
28 |
–16 |
----------- |
Lulin Observatory & TAOS |
----------- |
13:20:20 |
42° |
----------- |
----------- |
Magdalena Ridge Obs. |
----------- |
13:14:21 |
25 |
–12 |
----------- |
Mt. Wilson |
----------- |
13:14:30 |
33 |
–21 |
----------- |
Nayoro-shiritsu Observatory |
----------- |
13:19:08 |
58° |
----------- |
----------- |
Sendai-shi Observatory |
----------- |
13:19:16 |
59° |
----------- |
----------- |
Sendai Space Hall |
13:19:32 |
13:19:50 |
51° |
----------- |
13:20:08 |
Yunnan |
13:20:46 |
13:21:01 |
25° |
----------- |
13:21:15 |
Geocenter |
----------- |
13:17:18 |
------ |
----------- |
----------- |
9The errors on all times are ±1:15 (1 minute and 15 seconds; one standard deviation). The solar altitude is given for locations where it is relevant (solar altitude greater than -18°). No entry in the immersion and emersion columns indicates that the occultation is not predicted to be visible at that site. But due to unknown effects (stellar or KBO duplicity), some of these sites may see an occultation event that would be centered on the time in the "UT Mid-Time" column.
Last updated by Carlos Zuluaga (czuluaga@mit.edu) 2011-12-31 19:50
Please direct all inquiries to pal (pal@mit.edu)